84 Lumber Classic - By: Jeremy Church - Poker-A-Z.Com
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84 Lumber Classic - By: Jeremy Church - Poker-A-Z.Com cool cat casino



I have had and maintain the position that Michelle Wie will make the cut on the PGA Tour. I saw her play in person at the U.S. Women?s Open in 2004. I've seen her on TV. I'm not the only Jones out there with this position.

There are those who think Wie should stick to the women?s tour for the time being, and worry about the Ryder Cup when she's got some wins to show for herself. First on the LPGA, then on the PGA. it's great to have goals and she's a kid, albeit a professional and extremely well-paid kid, so I don't have a problem with the Ryder Cup dream she revealed recently (plenty of commentators seemed to take offense at the Ryder Cup comments). But I'm certainly in the category that she should stick to the LPGA. Earlier, as in just a couple years ago, it seemed like by now she would already have a win on the LPGA. If that were the case, it would better justify her PGA sponsor exemptions.

She faces a potential problem on the all-important public opinion front if she not only continues to not make the cut on Tour but continues to not be close to making the cut. At what point do we say, Ya know, kiddo, there are a lot of highly talented, highly skilled players on the LPGA Tour who have won a lot of events. Consistently. Over long careers. At what point does the question become, Do you think you are better than them? And if she does see herself as being able to play beyond the ability of the LPGA, if indeed she is, we need to see it. I don't understand the rush, though. These kids want to grow up so fast ?

At what point do we say, Is the LPGA dragging you down? Is the competition so lame you need a new playground? At this point in her young career this can't be said because she hasn?t won. When she starts to put together Sorenstam-like seasons, maybe then she should give it a serious go on the PGA Tour.

I certainly understand the intrigue factor, how her presence is selling more tickets to this week?s 84 Lumber Classic than if she wasn't in as a sponsor?s exemption, but this is going to become a freak show pretty soon, a gross display of exploitation, if it isn't already. I'm not quite there yet. But if I played word association right now it might go like this: Maria Sharapova: winner; Michelle Wie: Anna Kournikova.

Last week: So, another winning week. Jim Furyk?s Canadian Open win, at 7-1, 1/6 unit, got $1,166.66. In the head-to-head, Mike Weir didn't make the cut but he did finish higher than Ryan Moore, who obviously also missed the cut (by three more strokes than Weir). At 8-11, 1 unit, that got $727.27. That's $1,894 for the week. I've been a unit and change up each of the last three weeks, so we'll apply that change to the shade under two units won this week and call it 2. That brings the season total to -19 units as I continue to claw back. I'm going to need a longer shot to break even for the year at this pace because there aren't enough tournaments left, that is of course if I can stay apace with a unit won each week.

Chad Campbell represents the best mix of odds and chances at this week?s 84 Lumber Classic in Pennsylvania. Take Campbell (40-1), 1 unit. he's long enough off the tee, averaging 293 (this is a 7,500-yard layout), but the name of the game for Campbell is hitting greens. His is a control game. When he keeps it in the fairway, he's one of the better iron players going. And he needs to be because putting is not consistently good. Campbell started off ?06 fast, with a 2nd at the Sony Open in Hawaii and a win at the Bob Hope Chrysler Classic, in which he made a tournament-saving shot from a fairway bunker to less than ten feet down the stretch. He added three more top-10s before three MCs from June into July. In his last three tournaments he's gone 65, T24, T50.

Take Sean O?Hair (20-1), 1/6 unit: The second-year pro has been playing well since the British Open, where he finished T14. He followed with a T4 at the Buick Open, T12 at the PGA, T57 and third last week in Canada. This is a Rory Sabbatini-Geoff Ogilvy from early in the season pick. Those two put together quality starts early in the season and got early wins. O?Hair is also like Campbell in that putting is the only real question mark in his game.

Take Vijay Singh (6-1), 1/6 unit: I still don't think you can forget about Vijay. I didn't wrestle long last week with Furyk over Singh (they were the two best in the field) but that was partly because Singh was coming off the second to Tiger. This week?s tournament sponsor also sponsors Singh. He finished T13 last year and won it in 2004.

In the head-to-head, take Campbell to finish higher than Craig Barlow (4-5), 1 unit: This is a pretty safe bet, reflected by the odds. If they play match play ten times, Campbell probably wins seven or eight.

Jeremy Church is a documented member of the Professional Handicappers League.

Read all of his articles at http://www.procappers.com/Jeremy_Church.htm

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